Prediction
José Torres states that keeping inflation in the twos would strengthen monetary policy easing expectations and allow more interest rate cuts next year.
Predicted By: José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers on November 11, 2025
The Prediction Details
Full Prediction Statement
It really would strengthen monetary policy easing expectations in the last inflation report – CPI report – of 2025 if we could keep inflation in the twos rather than it increasing up to the threes, because that'll allow more interest rate cuts next year," Torres added.
Predictor
José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers
Prediction Date
November 11, 2025
Prediction Published In
November's inflation report is the first to be released after the shutdown. Here's what to expect
Prediction Source
www.cnbc.comFulfillment Statement
Next year
The Prediction in Context
Source: www.cnbc.com
" It really would strengthen monetary policy easing expectations in the last inflation report – CPI report – of 2025 if we could keep inflation in the twos rather than it increasing up to the threes, because that'll allow more interest rate cuts next year," Torres added. He also thinks it would have an impact on the interest rate outlook for next year – a period during which the Fed projects one rate cut. If the report were to show a 2.9% reading, it could offer some positive momentum in stocks heading into 2026.