The Prediction Details

Full Prediction Statement

He also thinks it would have an impact on the interest rate outlook for next year – a period during which the Fed projects one rate cut.

Predictor

José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers

Prediction Date

November 20, 2025

Prediction Published In

November's inflation report is the first to be released after the shutdown. Here's what to expect

Prediction Source

www.cnbc.com

Fulfillment Statement

Next year

The Prediction in Context

Source: www.cnbc.com

"If the report were to show a 2.9% reading, it could offer some positive momentum in stocks heading into 2026. In fact, Torres believes that such a number would clear the path for a so-called Santa Claus rally. He also thinks it would have an impact on the interest rate outlook for next year – a period during which the Fed projects one rate cut. "