Prediction
Iranâs Islamic Republic will self-perpetuate despite leadership losses
Predicted By: Unnamed Iran expert interviewed by Jonathan Freedland in January on an unknown date.
The Prediction Details
Full Prediction Statement
âThis regime will simply replace itself.â
Predictor
Unnamed Iran expert interviewed by Jonathan Freedland in January
Prediction Date
N/A
Prediction Published In
Even taking Trumpâs confused reasons for the Iran war at face value, itâs still a total disaster | Jonathan Freedland
Prediction Source
www.theguardian.comFulfillment Statement
Following efforts to decapitate Iranâs leadership through military strikes, over the course of the warâs leadership removals
The Prediction in Context
Source: www.theguardian.com
Scholars of the country warned long before the first salvoes were fired on 28 February that killing the top man, and even removing entire layers of leadership, would not be enough. After nearly half a century, the apparatus of the Islamic Republic is too entrenched, too committed to its own survival, to be felled so easily. As one Iran expert I spoke to put it in January: âThis regime will simply replace itself.â Sure enough, supreme leader Khamenei has been replaced by supreme leader Khamenei. If the plan had been to repeat Trumpâs Venezuela adventure, swapping out one dictator for a more pliable, US-friendly successor, so far it doesnât seem to have worked. To distil what the former head of the CIA, David Petraeus, told the Unholy podcast this week: âWe were hoping for Delcy RodrĂguez ⌠Instead, what we got is a young Kim Jong-un.â And, of course, life has got no easier for the people of Iran, desperate to be rid of the despots who rule over them.